Fastpitch4Life wrote:Fastpitch4Life wrote:Sam wrote:Fastpitch4Life wrote:Got this data from by DD's hitting coach. Written from pitcher's perspective, but you get the drift.
Powerful data from D1 Baseball in 2018 about the value of the first pitch strike!
➡️67% of strikeouts started w/ 1st pitch strikes
➡️74% of walks started w/ 1st pitch balls
➡️93% of 1st pitch strikes led to an out or strike one / meaning 7% of 1st pitch strikes became hits
Pitchers are going to try to throw a strike on their first pitch in baseball. What would change in softball? If anyone has better stats, please post.
The 93% stat is hilarious. D1 baseball is saying that batters hit .070 when the first pitch thrown to them is a strike??? That is f#cking stupid.....beyond belief. Nobody here questioned this obvious mistake.
AL hitters from 2015-2017:
"1. Hitters who took a first-pitch strike instead of swinging took a 21-point hit to their batting average (from .345 to .321).
2. Once a hitter takes that first pitch strike, he won’t return to the same odds of success again until getting to a 2-1 count.
3. Somewhat surprisingly, batting averages don’t change much from a 0-0 pitch (.345) to 1-0 (.344) or 2-0 (.350), counts that would be more advantageous to the hitter. But averages skyrocket 57 points when going from 2-0 to 3-0, and even a 3-1 count is the second most advantageous (.363).
4. Any count with two strikes is a major advantage to the pitcher. Averages disappear to .157 for 0-2, .166 for 1-2, .183 for 2-2, and even .211 for 3-2."
These hitters are taught to be disciplined and not swing at any 1st pitch strike......just mistakes by the pitcher.
https://www.weinsteinbaseball.com/strikes/
I'm just guessing that this guy knows a little more about it than you, based upon his credentials He's sticking with the 93% first strike pitch stat.
The guy's experience can't overcome bullshit metrics. Batters don't hit .070 on 1st pitch strikes. Period. If they did, it makes the case for taking the pitch.
