Sam wrote:newbie101 wrote:Spazsdad wrote:Less than 100 deaths out of over 3 million. I’ll take those odds and live my life free of manufactured fear and panic
I would not trust Orange County's numbers as they have been in question. So far since early March to current they have tested 70,885 people & only have results for 1,800 as of May 14th. They were questioned by the Voice of OC & other news outlets about that & they side stepped it. On the 14, 15 & 16 their numbers went up & continue to climb. Looks like they have also opened up more testing sites & have taken down the total reported test results from their web site.
I am sure that OC does not have numbers anywhere close to LA County, but I think there is some false reporting or lack of....
The more you test.....the more the numbers go up. Math.
That's why general the mortality rates look higher, but most experts believe the real number will be around .5%--again a small percent of a big number is still big. In the end, the Excess Mortality rate will give a more accurate number, but we won't have an accurate number until the year has past. That shows the number of deaths in excess of what is the normal rate. This kind of takes out the issues of under and over reporting and given the right amount of time those(and I hate saying this) that might have died anyway in a few months.
The other think that we should watch is a spike in new cases/hospitalizations/deaths in areas that have begun to open. We will not really know until a few weeks since that would account for incubation periods. Hopefully with the warmer weather and people practicing social distancing the impact will be minimal and we will be able to continue the phased opening. My guess is there may be some hots.
BTW- nice to see drive-in movies are making a come back!