by Trophy Hunter » Thu Jan 08, 2009 5:45 pm
Reasons UF will win
Urban Meyer will outcoach Boob Stoops, who loses these types of games with frightening consistency.
Tebow pissed off that OU QB Sam Bradford won Heisman
UF has Brandon James returning kicks
Special Teams - OU's are awful 106th in kick coverage, inc 4 tds, and 83rd in net punting, have missed 4 of 12 FG's and 5 PATs;
FL is 8th in punt coverage, missed 1 FG and 1 PAT. Brandon James has taken 2 punts to house, and 8 KO returns of 30 yds or more.
Percy Harvin (FL) is "90%" healthy, DeMarco Murray (OU leading rusher) is OUT
No school!! Urban Meyer said Wednesday that his team has blown off the books all week: "We've asked our players to focus on the task at hand, to win this game... we just don't have time with all the functions and practice going on. " In other words, no annoying academics have compromised the Gators' preparation! Gotta love college football!
Reasons OU will win.
Awesome O line.
QB is very talented with NFL arm
Great back up RB in Chris Brown (1000+ yds).
Scored a record 700+ points. (but most were in the Big 12!)
Wagering:
The line was 3 1/2 or 4 early this week. Then late Wednesday and early this morning, heavy action on the Gators shot the number up to 5 1/2 and even 6 this afternoon. That is a HUGE line movement.
The money line is now OU +190 and UF -220. Making UF a solid favorite. (Bet 220 to Win 100)
One big problem: UF lost to Michigan last year in the Capital One Bowl. But that was last year's Michigan team. And presumably last years UF team.
Anway, offense should carry the day in a shootout. Meyer will find a way to get the ball in Tebow's hands at the end, which will be the difference.
Florida to win 38 - 35
BUT, Oklahome will cover the spread.
Ladies, if a man tells you he will fix it, he will fix it. There is no reason to remind him about it every six months.